Economics Forecaster

1. Role Overview

Mercor is partnering with a leading AI lab on a collaborative research project featuring top global superforecasters. We're seeking experts with deep knowledge of economics to contribute to high-stakes forecasting challenges aimed at advancing AI reasoning capabilities. This is a unique opportunity to contract with a curated forecasting cohort driving the next generation of AI systems.

2. Key Responsibilities

• Generate probabilistic forecasts on macroeconomic and financial indicators

• Document forecasting rationale with clear, structured reasoning

• Analyze trends and data sources to inform high-quality predictions

• Engage with other domain experts to calibrate and refine outputs

• Provide feedback on forecast design and methodology

3. Ideal Qualifications

• Demonstrated experience in economic forecasting, data science, or related fields

• Strong understanding of global macroeconomic trends and financial systems

• Proven track record in prediction competitions (e.g., Metaculus, GJ Open) a plus

• Ability to clearly explain complex economic logic in writing

• Detail-oriented and intellectually curious

4. More About the Opportunity

• Remote and asynchronous — work on your own schedule

• Expected commitment: ~10–20 hours/week

5. Compensation & Contract Terms

• $105–140/hour for U.S.-based applicants

• You’ll be classified as an independent contractor

6. Application Process

• Submit your Mercor profile or resume to get started

• You’ll complete a brief form

• We’ll follow up within a few days with next steps

7. About Mercor

• Mercor is a talent marketplace that connects top experts with leading AI labs and research organizations

• Our investors include Benchmark, General Catalyst, Adam D’Angelo, Larry Summers, and Jack Dorsey

• Thousands of professionals across domains like law, creatives, engineering, and research have joined Mercor to work on frontier projects shaping the next era of AI